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Starling targets £4bn valuation as it eyes US expansion (stage)

UK 6 min read
Author
Daniel Black

Hello,

Business is slowly picking up after the summer lull, with a number of intriguing deals in our Rumour Mill. The UK government has also brought us a steady stream of scandals and missteps, with Peter Mandelson the latest high-profile name to be forced to leave their post this week. Never a dull moment.

In the week’s major M&A stories:

  • DoorDash’s takeover of Deliveroo got EU approval
  • TDR sold David Lloyd gym chain to itself
  • Starling Bank aiming for a £4bn valuation in share sale

Thanks for reading, and connect with me on LinkedIn if you want to discuss how I can help with your next M&A deal.

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Deal Tracker

Our weekly roundup of publicly confirmed M&A deals in the UK.

TransactionSectorsBuyerBuyer’s advisorsSeller’s advisors
01

Cinven acquired majority stake in Grant Thornton Germany

Business Services

Cinven

Deloitte

Deloitte

02

Innova sold its fully consented 12-MWp Park Hill Energy Extension solar project in Scotland to AlphaReal

Energy

AlphaReal

03

Balderton Capital sold about $1 billion worth of Revolut shares

Financial services

04

İşbank’s fintech subsidiary Moka United expands RUUT UK presence with Affiniture Cards acquisition

Financial services

Moka United

05

Care UK took over two co-located care homes, and a suite of 11 apartments, collectively known as The Hollies

Real estate

Care UK

The rumour mill

Industry news

Salaries and bonuses

Job moves

Market trends

TIC is the gift that keeps giving

Aventis Advisors has reported a healthy landscape in the Testing, Inspection, and Certification (TIC) sector, with over 1,300 transactions recorded globally in the last 10 years. In the times when AI governance, supply chain resilience and ESG compliance dominate boardroom agendas, TIC companies have become the invisible infrastructure keeping global commerce moving, validating everything from semiconductors chips to carbon credits. 

Analysis shows the annual deal count has hovered between 110 and 150 in the past decade. The UK captured 145 deals during this period, which ultimately makes it the second largest TIC M&A hub worldwide, trailing only the US with its 526 transactions. 

What is more, PE loves TIC and it’s for good reason: financial buyers represented 36% of deals in H1 2025, up from just 22% in 2015. The authors state that the sector offers predictable recurring revenues from contact-based testing work, asset-light models with attractive cash conversion, and mission-critical services that embed companies in customer supply chains. 

Powering through red tape

UK energy deals are increasingly navigating the National Security and Investment Act’s (NSIA) complex web, with the sector accounting for 25% of all government call-in notices in 2024/25 despite representing just 10% of total notifications. 

According to White & Case, Ed Miliband’s pledge to make Britain “the most attractive place for private capital to invest in clean energy” faces the reality that even modest acquisitions now trigger mandatory reviews. 

Fewer lots, but each commanding premium prices

The M&A data from late summer is in and it seems like dealmakers in the UK were enjoying time off. August was the quietest month of 2025 with just three firm offers, but this is in keeping with summer deal volumes in 2024 and 2023. 

However, the competitive dynamics that have characterised 2025 continued even in August’s subdued environment. This time it involves the Warehouse REIT takeover battle between Blackstone and Tritax Big Box. When neither declared their offers final by the required deadline, the Takeover Panel announced an auction. Yet Tritax withdrew from increasing its offer before the auction commenced, leading to the procedure’s cancellation.  

Chart shows firm vs. possible offers

Did you know Ireland is thought to mean “fertile soil”?

And lastly, the breakdown of UK and Ireland M&A activity in the first half of 2025, conducted by Experian, provides a clear view of regional deal volumes and values. It shows that while overall activity in H1 was down 16% compared to 2024 – with 3,003 deals compared to 3,589 – the value of those deals halved from £146bn to £71bn.

On a regional level, only Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland bucked the trend for falling deal values, with increases of 37% and 27% respectively.

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